MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-06-21T00:08:23
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2 MeV) measured by GOES-16 at GEO is generally expected to remain at background levels over the coming four days, possibly increasing to moderate during diurnal peaks. Corresponding electron fluence values are therefore forecast to remain well below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu) throughout, in line with REFM expectations.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-06-21T00:08:23 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |