Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-05-08T00:05:26

The high energy electron flux is generally expected to start at normal background levels, but may reach moderate levels during diurnal peaks. On day 3 (10th), flux values may begin to increase more generally if there is significant enhancement in the solar wind from coronal hole 36, however this is considered a low risk at present, due to the feature's southerly latitude.

The corresponding electron fluence values are currently at background levels and are expected to remain well below the Active threshold (>1e8 integrated pfu) throughout the forecast period, in line with current MOSWOC REFM data.