MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-03-19T00:14:14
The high energy electron flux is expected to remain at normal background to moderate levels initially. From 20 Mar onward there will be an increasing chance that the flux may rise close to or above the 1e3 pfu alert threshold during the diurnal peak. Fluence is expected to remain at normal background levels, albeit with a gradual day on day increasing trend.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-03-19T00:14:14 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 20% | 1% |