MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-03-13T00:05:20
With the solar wind expected to remain at predominantly ambient levels, with only temporary slight enhancements likely in the solar wind speed, the high energy electron flux (greater than 2 MeV) measured by GOES-16, is expected to remain at background to moderate levels during the forecast period.
Therefore the corresponding 24-hour electron fluence values are expected to remain below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-03-13T00:05:20 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |