MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-01-24T00:01:55
The high energy electron flux as observed by GOES16 may peak at moderate levels during the peak of the diurnal cycles each day, otherwise normal background electron counts are anticipated. This low electron flux will not significantly raise the associated fluence, therefore Active levels not expected. This is supported by REFM, and the 27-day persistence.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-01-24T00:01:55 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |