Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-12-25T00:25:29

Fluence levels exceeded the Active threshold on the previous rotation of CH95, but this hasn't occurred on this occasion as the current flux has been far below the level it was 27-days ago. As any high speed stream connection from CH95 is expected to be weak and temporary during this current rotation, the high energy electron flux is expected to remain below the Alert level (1000 pfu). Therefore the corresponding 24-hour fluence is expected to stay well below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu), as indicated by the current Met Office REFM model.