MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-12-30T00:01:38
With no significant sources of enhancement in the forecast, the high energy (greater than 2MeV) electron flux is expected to remain below the 1000 pfu Alert level, with the corresponding 24-hour fluence staying well below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu). This is supported by the REFM and the 27-day recurrence, both suggesting very low levels.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-12-30T00:01:38 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |