MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-01-06T00:07:45
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2 MeV) is forecast to remain at background to moderate levels, though it may increase to high levels during the diurnal maximum on days 2-4 (7th to 9th). Corresponding 24-hour fluence is well below the Active threshold at first and, while increasing, is still unlikely to breach the Active threshold until possibly day 4 (9th Jan).
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-01-06T00:07:45 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 20% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 30% | 1% |