MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-11-29T00:01:59
The high energy electron flux is not likely to undergo significant enhancement as the solar wind is expected to remain at predominantly background levels.Therefore, for most of the time, the high energy flux will be at low to moderate levels, but with a possible temporary peak of high levels today at the height of the diurnal cycle. Therefore the corresponding 24-hour integrated fluence will remain below the Active threshold.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-11-29T00:01:59 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |