Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-11-28T00:10:59

With slight high speed stream influences from CH86 expected for the next day, the high energy electron flux is expected to reach high levels during the diurnal cycle through much of the forecast period, but perhaps with a downward trend from day 2 (29th). The corresponding 24-hour Fluence is therefore expected to be near the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu) during day 1 (28th), with a probable downward trend from day 2. This trend is supported by current REFM data, although actual forecast values are a little too low at present.