Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-11-27T00:55:21

The high energy electron flux is expected to reach high levels during the diurnal peak initially but may decline significantly, should we experience any magnetic activity over the next 24 hours. With solar winds expected to remain ambient or only slightly elevated over the following days, the flux levels will not recover very quickly and are therefore expected to remain moderate. The corresponding 24-hour Fluence is therefore expected to gradual decline and most likely fall below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu) during Days 1 (27 Nov) or perhaps Day 2 (28 Nov), with lower confidence later in the period.

This pattern was observed on the previous rotation although with a reduction in activity compared to what was seen then.