MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-11-20T00:02:38
Electron counts are forecast to rise to high levels on 21 Nov with the fluence rising above the active threshold in the 24 hours following. This is based on 27-day recurrence and is ahead of the forecast data provided by REFM. On the previous rotation REFM was too slow to bring fluence figures up and this looks like being repeated on this rotation.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-11-20T00:02:38 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 20% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 80% | 5% |
| Day 4 | 80% | 5% |