Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-10-29T00:15:00

The high electron flux is likely to continue exceed high levels (over 1e3 pfu) at first during this forecast period, though with a general downward trend, perhaps falling below the high threshold during the diurnal minimum by day 3. Fluence figures are likewise forecast to remain high and above the Very Active threshold of 1e9 integrated pfu at first, though probably decreasing to only exceed the Active limit (1e8 integrated pfu) on day 3 (31st), and is likely to drop below the active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu) by day 4. The anticipated arrival of the CME may temporarily redistribute electrons, before increasing rapidly again.