MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-10-21T12:09:18
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to remain at low levels over the next 4 days. The corresponding electron fluence values will also stay well below the active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold, with a possible increase on Day 5 beyond the end of the forecast period. This is supported by the REFM forecast, and the recurrence which saw a rise on the 28th September.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-10-21T12:09:18 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 2% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 2% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 2% | 1% |