MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-11-05T00:18:40
The diurnal rise in electron flux today may reach high levels again today, but after this a declining day-on-day trend is expected (as was seen on the previous solar rotation). Fluence figures may breach the active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu) later today but after this a decline will set in to bring counts below this level from 06 Nov onward.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-11-05T00:18:40 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 50% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 20% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 20% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 20% | 1% |