MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-11-04T00:11:23
A decline in electron counts is expected through days 1 and 2 (4th & 5th Nov), but with possible increases again from day 3 (6th) as stronger solar winds become established. Corresponding fluence is forecast to fall below the active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu) on day 1, but may show a rising trend again by day 4.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-11-04T00:11:23 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 100% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 30% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 20% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 30% | 1% |