MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-11-14T00:03:24
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to remain at background levels during Days 1 to 3 (14 to 15 Nov). However, later on Day 3 and into Day 4 (16 and 17 Nov) flux may start to increase due to the influence of the high speed stream from coronal hole 82. The corresponding electron fluence is expected to remain below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu) throughout the forecast period.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-11-14T00:03:24 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 10% | 1% |