MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-10-17T00:19:09
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is currently at background levels, and is expected to remain at these levels through the period. There is a slight chance of a modest increase on days 2 and 3, given the potential enhancement to solar winds through day 1, with diurnal peaks perhaps reaching high values. These values, however, are not expected to be sufficient to increase the associated electron fluence to Active , with current REFM expectations expected to remain good guidance throughout.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-10-17T00:19:09 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |