MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-09-17T00:07:40
With no significant enhancements to electron counts expected through the forecast period, high energy (greater than 2MeV) electron flux is forecast to be mostly at background to moderate levels, however occasionally slightly elevated solar winds will continue to bring a chance of diurnal peaks to high levels.
The associated 24 hour fluence is currently below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold, and with no significant enhancements to flux values expected, there is only a slight chance of Active conditions returning.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-09-17T00:07:40 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 20% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 20% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 20% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 20% | 1% |