MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-09-10T00:28:26
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to vary between moderate and high (1e3 pfu) levels through the next two days due to slightly elevated solar wind speeds. Wind speeds are then forecast to continue to decline, with a respective fall in the high energy electron flux.
Corresponding fluence values are at Active (1e8 integrated pfu) levels and are expected to remain at this level through day 1, with a decreasing risk through the remainder of the period.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-09-10T00:28:26 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 70% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 50% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 50% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 50% | 1% |