Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-09-11T00:25:52

The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to continue to diurnally fluctuate between moderate and high levels through much of the period, but with a gradual declining trend, as the solar wind decreases from slightly elevated to background levels over the next couple of days. This pattern was observed on previous rotation and by day 4 (14th) the electron flux is unlikely to exceed the High threshold (1000 pfu).  

Corresponding electron fluence values are at Active levels (greater than 1e8 integrated pfu) and are expected to remain at this level through days 1 and 2 (11th and 12th). They are then expected to decrease and are likely to drop below the Active threshold later in the period, as observed on previous rotation.