MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-10-11T00:10:35
Peak high energy electron flux values (greater than 2 MeV), have been gradually falling through the last week, and are now expected to remain at Moderate levels (below 1000pfu). With no current sources of enhancement to electron counts within the forecast period, these background to moderate levels of electron flux will lead to the 24 hour integrated fluence values remaining below the Active threshold.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-10-11T00:10:35 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |