MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-08-11T00:16:05
The high energy electron flux has remained high over the past 24 hours. This trend of falling peak diurnal values is expected to continue, with increasingly prolonged periods of moderate values expected to develop.
The associated electron fluence has recently fallen from Very High to High levels and this trend is likely to continue, although the fluence may well remain above the Active threshold until the end of day 2 (12 Aug)..
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-08-11T00:16:05 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 100% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 95% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 70% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 50% | 1% |