Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-10-03T00:16:57

The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) will start above the Active threshold, and is expected to fall below at times today and tomorrow. From day 3 (5th) onwards the high energy electron flux is expected to decrease, so it is below the Active threshold for most of the time and with only diurnal peaks exceeding the Active threshold.

The corresponding electron fluence will start above the Active level (1e8 pfu), and is likely to persist above the Active threshold for at least two more days following persistence forecasting from the previous rotation of CH65. But by the end of the forecast period the fluence will decrease, reflecting the gradual decrease in the high energy flux levels decrease.