MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-09-26T00:21:38
Little change is expected in electron flux counts today and tomorrow, perhaps rising slightly compared to recent days to reach moderate levels at times. Once the high speed stream from CH65/+ has become established a fairly marked rise in flux is likely, reaching high or very high levels from 28 Sep onwards. On 29 Sep fluence is likely to follow suit and rise above the active threshold.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-09-26T00:21:38 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 80% | 20% |
| Day 4 | 80% | 30% |