MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-08-22T00:22:48
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to fluctuate diurnally between background and moderate levels for much of the forecast period. There is a small chance of electron counts increasing due any slight enhancements to the solar wind that occur, however persistence from the previous rotation suggests that this is unlikely, and any enhancement is likely to be limited. Therefore the fluence is expected to remain below the active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu) throughout.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-08-22T00:22:48 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |