MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-08-28T12:08:20
With quiet conditions in the near-Earth space environment, little change is expected to electron flux over the next three days, this remaining at normal background levels. By the end of 31 Aug, once the high speed stream from coronal hole 58 becomes established, an increase in electron flux will start to be seen, rising to moderate levels ahead of a more significant rise after the end of this forecast period. Integrated 24 hour fluence is forecast to remain at normal background levels throughout.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-08-28T12:08:20 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 10% | 1% |