Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-08-13T00:06:06

The high energy electron flux was at moderate to high levels, with a peak of 5160 pfu at 12/2040UTC. A gradual declining trend has been evident over the past few days and is expected to continue into the forecast period, although diurnal peaks are still likely to reach high levels (above 1e3 particles cm^-2 sr^-1 s^-1), over the next couple of days.  

Electron fluence is also expected to decline and is expected to drop below the active threshold (1e8 particles cm^-2 sr^-1 day^-1) either by the end of day 1 or on day 2 (13th or 14th Aug).