Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-04-14T00:22:59

The high energy (greater 2MeV) electron flux remained at mostly High levels through the diurnal cycle on 13 April and this is expected to be repeated again on Days 1 and 2 (14 and 15 April). However, any further Active intervals of geomagnetic activity would be expected to reduce electron counts to background or moderate levels, and this gives a degree of uncertainty in the forecast.

Corresponding 24 hour electron fluence level is also uncertain through the forecast period, but it is likely to remain above the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu) for Days 1 and 2 (14 and 15 April) with an increasing chance on Days 3 and 4 (16 and 17 April) of slipping back close to or below this threshold.