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MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit

Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-03-14T00:07:45

The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is forecast to remain at predominantly moderate levels through the next 4 days, but with diurnal peaks temporarily reaching High levels from tomorrow. The corresponding fluence is expected to remain below the Active threshold until day 4, although with a gradual rising trend. Late in the forecast period the fluence may reach Active levels.


 
High Energy Electron Event Forecast
Issued 2019-03-14T00:07:45
Probability of threshold exceedance
 ActiveV.Active
Day 1 20% 1%
Day 2 20% 1%
Day 3 40% 1%
Day 4 60% 1%