Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-02-17T00:16:23

High energy electron flux is showing a stable diurnal oscillation within Moderate (100-1000pfu), a trend that should continue over much of the forecast period to render Active 24-hour integrated fluence very unlikely.

At the very end of the forecast period, the impending coronal hole 78 may make itself felt, although this should not reflect on fluence until midweek at the earliest, and even then the decay of this coronal hole feature since last rotation should make exceedence a relatively low probability.