Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-02-13T00:28:53

Due to the increased risk of geomagnetic enhancements, there is a decreasing chance of the high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) reaching the high threshold. There may be a slight increase in flux levels following the establishment of the high speed stream, although an exceedance above the high threshold is considered unlikely until at least day 4

The forecast for dampened flux levels over the next four days suggest that the corresponding electron fluence will remain below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold.