MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-01-21T00:05:47
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is forecast to remain at mainly background levels, before a rising trend develops in the wake of the onset of coronal hole 68, increasing to Moderate levels on day 4 (24th), with a chance of reaching the High threshold (1000pfu) later in the day. The associated 24 hour electron fluence will follow a similar upward trend late in the forecast period, but is expected to remain below the Active threshold.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-01-21T00:05:47 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 10% | 1% |