MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-01-20T00:04:49
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is forecast to remain at mainly background levels, perhaps rising to moderate or even high in the wake of expected geomagnetic activity at the very end of the four-day period, although too late to have any impact on the integrated fluence. The associated 24 hour electron fluence is therefore expected to remain below the Active threshold throughout.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-01-20T00:04:49 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 10% | 1% |