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MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit

Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-01-10T00:21:24

The high energy electron flux has seen peak values gradually decline day by day, and this process is expected to continue during the period, with levels increasingly approaching background values . With no significant sources of enhancement expected, the associated fluence values will also continue declining. These are now below the 1e8 24hr integrated pfu level, and will remain below this threshold throughout.

 
High Energy Electron Event Forecast
Issued 2019-01-10T00:21:24
Probability of threshold exceedance
 ActiveV.Active
Day 1 1% 1%
Day 2 1% 1%
Day 3 1% 1%
Day 4 1% 1%