MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-01-17T00:16:47
With no significant high speed streams expected during the period, the high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is forecast to be at background levels, with occasional increases to moderate through the diurnal cycle. The associated 24 hour electron fluence will therefore remain well below the Active threshold (1e8 pfu), as indicated by REFM data.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-01-17T00:16:47 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |