Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-12-18T00:29:59

The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) has been at background to moderate levels through the last week. Although there has been an upward trend in flux values over the last four days, these increases are likely to remain limited through the forecast period given the slightly elevated solar wind environment, with only brief incursions above the high threshold likely.

Corresponding electron fluence values are currently below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold with a declining trend. However given that the fluence values are just below the threshold, any relatively minor increases in electron flux values could result in the Active threshold being breached.