MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-01-09T00:05:56
High Energy Electron flux (>2MeV) levels are expected to initially peak just above the High threshold (1000 pfu) on the diurnal maximum, but should gradually lower through the period as solar winds settle at or near background levels.
The corresponding electron fluence has now dropped below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu) and is expected to slowly reduce through the period.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-01-09T00:05:56 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 80% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 50% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 30% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 20% | 1% |