MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-12-24T00:01:20
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to remain at near background levels. The corresponding 24-hour fluence is forecast to remain well below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold throughout. Both the 27-day persistence and the REFM forecast strongly suggest the low levels will persist through the forecast period with insufficient solar wind conditions to drive flux levels higher.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-12-24T00:01:20 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 5% | 1% |