MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-12-23T00:26:59
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is at background to normal levels and is expected to remain at these levels through the next four days. Analysis of persistence from the previous pass of coronal hole 60 suggests that any increase in electron flux will be limited.
Corresponding 24-hour fluence levels are below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold and are expected to remain below threshold for the next 4 days.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-12-23T00:26:59 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 20% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 15% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 30% | 1% |