MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-11-25T00:06:09
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2 Mev) has been at background levels for several days, and in the absence of any significant high speed streams or geomagnetic activity is expected to remain at mainly background levels throughout the forecsast period, perhaps reaching moderate levels at peaks of the diurnal cycle.
The corresponding 24-hour electron fluence has been well below the Active threshold (2e8 integrated pfu) for several days, around the order of 1e6 integrated pfu, and is expected to remain around this level for the duration of the forecast period.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-11-25T00:06:09 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |