MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-10-26T00:14:02
The high energy electron flux is currently at background levels, with the associated electron fluence remaining well below the Active (1e8 24 hour integrated pfu) threshold. A slight increase in electron flux is possible on day 4 due to increased solar winds from coronal hole 43, however the electron fluence is expected to remain below the Active threshold through the period.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-10-26T00:14:02 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 10% | 1% |