MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-10-08T00:05:43
Initially Normal to Moderate (less than 1000pfu) electron flux levels, however now the high speed stream is established electron flux levels are expected to rise to become high to very high either later on day 2 (9th), or through day 3 (10th), persisting at this level into day 4 (11th). This is expected to lead to Active electron fluence levels developing, with a chance of reaching the Very Active threshold by the end of the period.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-10-08T00:05:43 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 30% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 60% | 20% |
| Day 3 | 90% | 30% |
| Day 4 | 90% | 40% |