MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-07-18T00:08:19
The flux of high energy electrons (greater than 2MeV) at geosynchronous Earth orbit is expected to remain at background to moderate levels over the next four days. An enhancement in the solar wind, and therefore electron flux values, is possible on Days 3 and 4 due to the arrival of coronal hole 10. However this is unlikely to significantly populate the van Allen belts, until beyond the forecast period.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-07-18T00:08:19 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 10% | 1% |