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MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit

Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-04-15T00:14:21

As no significant geomagnetic activity is expected there is no obvious mechanism to suddenly reduce the currently high electron flux and high fluence levels. Therefore a natural and gradual decrease in electron counts is expected through the forecast period.

 
High Energy Electron Event Forecast
Issued 2018-04-15T00:14:21
Probability of threshold exceedance
 ActiveV.Active
Day 1 100% 5%
Day 2 90% 1%
Day 3 70% 1%
Day 4 50% 1%