Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-04-02T00:12:04

High energy electron flux has seen day-on-day reductions since 29 March, with 24-hour integrated fluence now very marginal for the Active threshold, although the rate of attrition has slowed significantly. It is felt that counts will fall below threshold during day one (Monday 02 April), after which point the current solar wind is unlikely to be able to restore these to previous highs. The chances of Active fluence therefore fall markedly after day one, with the next feature of interest likely to be coronal hole 89 which is now cresting the eastern limb.