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MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit

Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-03-26T00:14:09

The high energy electron flux rose to high levels after 25/1520 UTC in response to slightly elevated solar winds. Periods of increased geomagnetic activity on day 1 may lead to temporary reductions to background levels, although mostly high levels of electron flux are expected. Electron flux levels may wane a little by day 4 as solar winds return to background speeds. The high energy electron fluence alert threshold is expected to be met on day 1, with the fluence remaining above this level through much of the 4 day period. 

 
High Energy Electron Event Forecast
Issued 2018-03-26T00:14:09
Probability of threshold exceedance
 ActiveV.Active
Day 1 90% 10%
Day 2 80% 20%
Day 3 80% 20%
Day 4 70% 10%