MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-04-09T00:19:40
The high energy electron fluence (greater than 2MeV) is expected to remain below the Active threshold throughout the next three days. With the arrival of the next high speed stream there is the chance that flux levels will rise above the Active threshold on day 3 (11th April), giving a chance of reaching Active fluence levels on day 4, but the most likely impact of this will be after the end of the forecast period.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-04-09T00:19:40 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 30% | 1% |