MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-04-03T00:04:49
The high energy electron flux is expected to continue to show a gradual decline, and likely to fall below the Active level on Day 1 or Day 2. The solar wind parameters are now considered to be insufficient to sustain higher flux levels in the outer Van Allen belts. This will feed into the corresponding 24-hour fluence which will also fall below the Active threshold later on Day 1 or Day 2.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-04-03T00:04:49 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 100% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 40% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 5% | 1% |