Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-02-07T00:11:05

The high energy electron flux at GEO is currently at very low background levels, generally below 10pfu.  The slightly elevated solar winds from coronal hole 66 may increase the high energy electron flux slightly during the next few days, but levels are still most likely to remain below the high threshold (1000pfu). 

The corresponding 24 hour fluence is currently around 1e6 integrated pfu, well below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu), so while some rise in fluence is expected in response to rising flux levels, it is unlikely to reach the Active threshold during the forecast period.